As U.S.-Taiwan relations are gradually warming up, tensions across the strait have closely affected U.S.-China relations and have become one of the top diplomatic priorities of the two parties in Congress. Republican Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) said that he believes that China will take action against Taiwan before 2030, but he predicts that Beijing will tend to promote the goal of reunification "from the inside out". Bit by bit, the "sausage-cutting" method is used to influence Taiwan, making the people of Taiwan believe that the trend of reunification is irresistible, and they turn to consider reunification negotiations.
Republican Senator Rubio from Florida made the above statement at a speech event held at Hillsdale College by American Compass, a research institute in Washington, on Wednesday (December 8).
Republican Senator Rubio December 8, 2021 to attend the discussion at Hillsdale College. (Photo by Li Yihua, VOA reporter)
Republican Senator Rubio December 8, 2021 to attend the discussion at Hillsdale College. (Photo by Li Yihua, VOA reporter)
"My prediction is that this will happen before 2030, but if I want to predict what they (China) will do, I think they will tend to push (unification) from the inside out," Rubio said. "I don't think they want to take some kind of invasion to land their Marines and be attacked for weeks and months. Although I think they are willing to do that."
Rubio often vigorously speaks for Taiwan on many issues and is regarded as one of the most friendly members of Taiwan in Congress. When talking about the means China will take to achieve its goal of reunification, Rubio responded by stating that he believes that China will disintegrate Taiwan’s resistance bit by bit.
Rubio said, "My prediction is that Taiwan has jurisdiction over a series of smaller islands and rock formations in some places. In those places, China has already claimed to belong to them. China may go to some of the smaller islands and start building. Some military facilities, etc. Will the world dare to do something about this? Will the United States go to war over these small rock formations now under Taiwan’s jurisdiction? Can Taiwan do anything?"
"The ability to do that in one or several places will eventually lead the Taiwan military and government to think that all of this is inevitable and will happen eventually, so we may best negotiate (unification) conditions with Beijing. , Surrender to Beijing. I predict that those conditions will look very similar to those of Hong Kong and Macau at first, and they will look good in writing, but they will be corroded," Rubio said.
"It's like cutting a sausage, cutting it thinly until there is nothing left."
Rubio said that for US national security, if Taiwan is captured by force and captured by the Chinese Communist Party, the United States cannot and does not want to do anything, it is not just for the strength and allies of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region, and for different allies. The end of the promise, "but the end of all this to the world".
"Secondly, the world's largest semiconductor factory is in Taiwan, so this is a big problem," Rubio said.
Rubio pointed out that he believes that the biggest goal of China's military development is to become regional hegemony and be able to win in any conflict and war. "Xi Jinping wants to defeat us in regional conflicts, and their definition of this is to make the (military) intervention cost so high that we will not intervene," Rubio said.
Rubio suggested that the first task of the United States is to prevent them from reaching the level they think they can do whatever they want. "Our response is to increase their costs. I think the second is to increase the cost of their armed intervention in Taiwan."
"The higher the cost and the more expensive they (armed off Taiwan) to do that, the less likely they are to do it," Rubio said. He called on Taiwan to actively develop asymmetric combat capabilities.
Rubio went on to say that Taiwan should adopt a "porcupine strategy" and find a way to become a "porcupine." "No one likes to eat porcupine because the meat inside may taste good, but the thorns on the outside will hurt you. Mouth" .
Taiwan’s Defense Minister Qiu Guozheng attended the joint meeting of the Legislative Yuan’s Finance, Foreign Affairs, and National Defense Committees on Wednesday. In an interview with the media, he once again warned about the tensions in the Taiwan Strait. When the war breaks out, Taiwan will be a battlefield everywhere.
The situation of relations across the Taiwan Strait has clearly become one of the diplomatic issues of greatest concern to both parties in Congress. The Senate Foreign Relations Committee held a hearing on "Future US Taiwan Policy" on Wednesday afternoon. The State Department’s Assistant Secretary of State for Asia-Pacific Affairs Daniel Kritenbrink and the Department of Defense Assistant Secretary of Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Ratner (Ely Ratner) attended the testimony.
Biden administration officials reiterated the United States' commitment to Taiwan to be "rock-solid" at the hearing. Kangda and Ratner told the lawmakers that maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait is a "here and now issue." The Biden administration must ensure that Taiwan is capable of resisting Beijing's coercion and is also actively assisting Taiwan in strengthening its self-defense capabilities and deterring China. Possible military actions against Taiwan.
The Biden administration’s invitation to Taiwan to attend the Democracy Summit once again highlighted the close cooperation between the United States and Taiwan. Tang Feng, a member of the Executive Yuan, who represented Taiwan at the Democracy Summit, and Xiao Meiqin, Taiwan’s representative to the United States, were invited to participate in the meeting via video.
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